Semen Padang vs Persik Kediri
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Semen Padang hosts Persik Kediri in Liga 1 action on Friday, 08 May 2026 at Stadion GOR Haji Agus Salim in Padang. Both sides are fighting for respectable finishes in the regular season with contrasting fortunes. Semen Padang sits 17th with 20 points, while Persik Kediri occupies 12th place with 36 points—a significant gap that reflects their very different campaigns.

Semen Padang is in freefall, suffering five consecutive losses and scoring just one goal across those matches while conceding nine. Their overall record stands at 5W–5D–21L with a goal difference of -30, making them one of the league's weakest attacking and defensive units. Persik Kediri, by contrast, shows resilience with a 45% draw likelihood in recent form and recent victories, though they too have dropped points to top sides. Their mixed recent form—two wins in five—hints at inconsistency, but they remain fundamentally stronger than their hosts.

The betting market reflects Persik Kediri's superior standing, with the away side favored at 2.24 to Semen Padang's 3.04. Double chance X2 (draw or away win) sits at 1.34, a strong return. The statistical model assigns draw probability at 45% and away win at 45%, suggesting neither outright victory nor a clean sheet is likely. BTTS Yes is priced at 1.59, reflecting moderate expectation of both teams scoring.

Key bet: Double chance X2 (draw or Persik Kediri win) offers the safest route in this fixture. Given Semen Padang's dire form, Persik Kediri's superiority on the road, and the model's balanced draw-or-away forecast, backing the away side or a split point provides excellent value at 1.34.