Kalju Nomme vs Tammeka
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Kalju Nomme hosts Tammeka at Hiiu Stadium, Tallinn in Meistriliiga Round 16 on Wednesday, 17 June 2026. The hosts occupy second place with 28 points, while Tammeka sits seventh with 17 points. This is a mid-season clash where the favourite seeks to maintain pressure on the title race, while the visitors look to climb out of the lower half.

Kalju Nomme have won three of their last five matches, scoring seven goals but conceding four. A recent loss to Vaprus (1–3) interrupted their run, though they bounced back with victories over Laagri and Kuressaare. Tammeka show similar recent form with three wins in five, but their defensive record is stronger—only two goals conceded in that span. They drew 0–0 with Vaprus but fell to FC Levadia Tallinn before defeating Nõmme United 3–1. Head-to-head, Kalju Nomme edged Tammeka 1–0 in March.

The betting market heavily favours the hosts, with 1.35 for a Kalju Nomme win compared to 6.94 for away victory. The draw sits at 4.90. The analytical model assigns 45% probability to each outcome (home win or draw) and just 10% to an away win. While Tammeka's defensive rating (67%) edges Kalju Nomme's defence (33%), the hosts dominate in attack (58% vs 42%), suggesting they should control possession and chances.

Pick to watch: Kalju Nomme represent outstanding value at 1.35. Despite the model flagging uncertainty, their league position, superior attack rating, and recent head-to-head advantage make them the clear choice. Back the home favourite.