Ilves vs Turku PS
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Ilves host Turku PS in a Suomen Cup Round of 16 knockout tie at Tammelan Stadion in Tampere on Wednesday, 27 May 2026. This is a single-elimination fixture where one team advances and one exits the competition. The betting market heavily favours the home side, with Ilves priced at 1.67 to win outright.

Ilves arrive in solid form, recording three wins, one draw and one loss over their last five matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 5 during this run, demonstrating both attacking threat and defensive vulnerabilities. Turku PS, meanwhile, show a more inconsistent record with two wins, one draw and two losses in the same period, netting 7 goals and conceding 5. The head-to-head record strongly favours Ilves, who have won all five of their recent meetings against Turku PS without conceding a goal across those encounters.

The bookmaker consensus reflects Ilves' clear advantage, pricing them as strong favourites. The statistical model suggests a closely matched contest, with home and draw probabilities both around 45%, whilst away chances sit at just 10%. Market odds on BTTS Yes stand at 1.61, indicating moderate expectation of both teams scoring. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.61, suggesting goals are anticipated in this knockout encounter.

Key bet: Ilves to win outright at 1.67. The home side dominate the head-to-head record, boast superior recent form and command the betting market backing. Despite the model's caution, Ilves represent the clearest value in this knockout fixture.