Kosovo vs Israel
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Kosovo hosts Israel in a UEFA Nations League League B clash on Saturday, 14 November 2026. Both teams are competing for positioning in this competitive division, with Kosovo sitting second in their group on 5 points and Israel fourth on 2 points. The encounter carries importance for both sides' hopes of climbing the standings and securing promotion or avoiding relegation.

Kosovo enters with stronger recent form, recording 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over their last five outings, scoring 6 goals while conceding 4. Israel, by contrast, has struggled significantly with only 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, netting just 3 goals against 7 conceded. The head-to-head record is relatively balanced, though Kosovo won their most recent competitive clash in 2023. Israel's defensive vulnerabilities and poor goal difference of -5 suggest they face an uphill task away from home.

Bookmakers favour Kosovo at 1.85, with draws priced at 3.40 and Israel at 4.20. The statistical model assigns 50% probability to a Kosovo win and 50% to a draw, with Israel's chances rated at 0%. Kosovo's form rating of 71% versus Israel's 29% reflects the home side's advantage. BTTS Yes is priced at 1.75, suggesting moderate scoring potential.

Key bet: The double chance 1X at 1.25 offers excellent value, protecting against an unlikely Israel upset while capturing Kosovo's strong form advantage. With the home side's superior ratings across attack and defence, plus a track record of results, this outcome aligns with both market sentiment and model probabilities. Back the draw protection on the favourites.