Scotland vs FYR Macedonia
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Scotland welcomes FYR Macedonia in UEFA Nations League League B on Friday, 13 November 2026 at 19:45 UTC. The hosts are heavy favourites at 1.18, reflecting their dominant position in the group. Scotland sit third with 4 points from four matches, while FYR Macedonia remain pointless at the bottom. This fixture is a pivotal moment for both sides' Nations League campaign.

Scotland have shown inconsistency, recording one win, one draw and two losses in their last four outings. They scored 3 goals and conceded 8 across that run. However, their recent head-to-head record is telling: they defeated FYR Macedonia 2-0 just over a month ago. FYR Macedonia remain winless with a grim record of five straight defeats and zero goals scored in their last five games. They have conceded 14 goals across this sequence, highlighting a severe defensive fragility that Scotland will be eager to exploit.

The betting market reflects the disparity in quality. Bookmakers price Scotland as overwhelming favourites, while Double chance 1X sits at 1.03, signalling near-certainty the hosts avoid defeat. The statistical model concurs, assigning 50% probability to a Scotland win and 50% to a draw, with the away side given virtually no chance. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.75, reflecting expectation of a comfortable home victory with multiple goals.

Pick to watch: Scotland are the clear selection at 1.18 to secure three points. Their recent 2-0 victory over FYR Macedonia combined with the visitors' alarming form—five losses, zero goals in their last five—makes the home win the most reliable outcome in this Nations League fixture.