Deportivo Maldonado
DanubioDeportivo Maldonado hosts Danubio in the Torneo Intermedio of Uruguay's Primera División on Monday, 18 May 2026 at 21:30 UTC. The hosts occupy second place in the league standings with 29 points, while visitors Danubio sit eleventh with 18 points. This clash pits a strong home side against struggling opposition in a mid-season competition where momentum matters significantly.
Deportivo Maldonado arrives in excellent form, posting 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over their last five matches with a goal difference of +3 (9 scored, 6 conceded). Recent victories against Boston River and Cerro underscore their attacking prowess. By contrast, Danubio have struggled with just one win in five games, conceding eight goals while scoring only five. Their defensive fragility—demonstrated by heavy defeats to Albion FC and Liverpool Montevideo—exposes vulnerability against in-form opponents like Deportivo Maldonado.
Bookmakers price Deportivo Maldonado as clear favourites at 1.95, with a draw at 3.10 and Danubio at 3.50. The analytical model suggests home superiority with 45% win probability for Deportivo Maldonado and 45% for a draw, reflecting genuine competitive balance despite the league-table gap. The double chance 1X at 1.25 offers strong value, protecting against the small 10% away upset probability.
Key bet: The double chance 1X targeting either a Deportivo Maldonado victory or draw represents the smart play here. With the hosts favoured yet draws common in recent head-to-head encounters, this pick combines value and risk management, cashing in if Deportivo Maldonado win or the match remains level.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boston River | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 |  Juventud | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Central Espanol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Club Nacional | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Wanderers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Albion FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 |  Racing Montevideo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Liverpool Montevideo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 |  Danubio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 |  Defensor Sporting | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Maldonado | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 |  Cerro Largo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 7 |  Atletico Torque | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 |  Progreso | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 8 |  Cerro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
