Bayer Leverkusen
MarseilleBayer Leverkusen host Marseille in Europa League League Stage action at the BayArena on Thursday, 5 November 2026. This is a decisive encounter where the German side, sitting second in the standings with 9 points, face an under-pressure Marseille outfit yet to register a win in the competition. The hosts are overwhelming favourites at 1.40, signalling confidence in a home victory.
Bayer Leverkusen arrive in mixed domestic form, winning three of their last five matches while conceding 10 goals across that span. Despite recent setbacks against Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, they remain formidable in the Europa League, sitting atop the group on goal difference. Marseille show similar winning frequency (3W in five) but their European campaign has stalled completely—three losses leave them bottom of the table with zero points. Their defensive frailty, conceding seven in five games, compounds the challenge against a side boasting superior attacking prowess.
The betting market heavily favours the hosts: Double chance 1X sits at 1.12, while BTTS Yes is priced at 1.67. The analytical model projects 50% home win probability, aligning with Bayer Leverkusen's superior form ratings across attack (89%) and defence. Over 2.5 goals at 1.48 reflects expectations of an open, entertaining contest given both teams' recent goal-heavy performances.
Key bet: Bayer Leverkusen to win outright. The hosts' commanding position, superior attacking quality, and perfect domestic record align decisively with the 1.40 odds. Marseille's European struggles and fragile defence make this a straightforward backing of the clear favourite.
Data in this analysis may differ from current values.
Match analysis and predictions are algorithmically generated and are for informational purposes only — not professional betting advice. Bet responsibly · 18+
| NR | TEAM | MP | W | D | L | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Benfica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 |  Bournemouth | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 4 |  Ferencvarosi TC | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
| 6 |  Union St. Gilloise | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 |  Juventus | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 |  Beşiktaş | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sunderland | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  AZ Alkmaar | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 11 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lyon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 |  Rennes | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 14 |  Real Sociedad | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 16 |  Sparta Praha | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 17 |  Levski Sofia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 18 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 19 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 20 |  NEC Nijmegen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 21 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 22 |  Anderlecht | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 23 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 24 |  AC Milan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 25 |  Celta Vigo | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 26 |  OFI | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 27 |  Jagiellonia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 28 |  Torreense | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 29 |  Celje | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 30 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 31 |  Lillestrom | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 32 |  Lech Poznan | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 33 |  Plzen | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 34 |  Marseille | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 35 |  Celtic | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 36 |  Ararat-Armenia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
