Georgia vs Hungary
PREDICTION / ANALYSIS / ODDS

Georgia face Hungary in a UEFA Nations League League B encounter on Saturday, 14 November 2026. This World fixture carries significant weight in the competition standings, with Hungary currently positioned higher in the table and looking to consolidate their campaign. Both sides are competing for crucial points to determine their path in this group stage.

Georgia have struggled recently, recording just one win in their last five matches alongside two draws and two defeats. They have scored only two goals while conceding two, reflecting a team searching for consistency. In contrast, Hungary arrive in strong form with three wins, one draw and one loss over the same period, netting six goals and conceding just three. Hungary currently occupy second place with seven points, while Georgia sit fourth with two points from two draws and two losses.

The betting market favours Hungary, with the away side priced at 2.30 compared to Georgia at 3.30. The draw is offered at 3.00. Statistical models suggest a tight encounter, predicting 45% probability for a draw and 45% for an away win, with only 10% for a home victory. BTTS Yes is priced at 2.00, while Over 2.5 goals sits at 2.48.

Smart angle: The draw protection via double chance X2 (draw or Hungary) offers solid value at 1.36. Hungary's superior recent form and head-to-head advantage—they defeated Georgia 1-0 in their last meeting—combined with defensive stability suggests covering both a Hungary win and a draw is the prudent backing, especially given the competitive balance implied by the model.